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Excellence English Academy

Koreabridge - Tue, 2022-08-09 08:49
Location: Business/Organization Type: 

Do you need to improve your English Grammar?

Are you wanting the skills and confidence to communicate effectively in English?

Do you need easy-to-understand lessons with English that is actually useful in the real-world?

Would you like to improve your pronunciation and modify your accent so you sound more natural in English?

This is EXCELLENCE ENGLISH ACADEMY. We are here to help you out!

The acadamy was established in the year 2020. When the pandemic hit the world, everything seemed to stop, but not learning. The demand in learning the English language was so high. We have helped a lot of of students, of all ages, improve and become fluent in English since we started!

We have programs for beginners, primary and intermediate students, highschoolers, univeristy students and we also conduct advance and business English classes.

If you want to improve your English, become more confident, become more FLUENT, and also have FUN while learning, you definitely have to send us an email at [email protected]

Teachers are all professionals, very capable and flexible, easy to get along with, and promise we will always do our best to help you achieve your personal goals!

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Gyosupso (1 room academy) for Sale

Koreabridge - Tue, 2022-08-09 03:58
Classified Ad Type: Location: Neighborhood: MiasageoriContact person by email

 

OVERVIEW: Selling a Gyosupso for 10,000,000₩ (The deposit is 30,000,000₩ which you can get back). It nets 5,700,000₩ a month teaching a little less than 4-5 hours a day. I canceled group 1 to avoid younger students, but demand is high and an extra 50min class per day increases the income to 7,700,000₩ per month. 


**The owner will need to teach the classes but can hire a part time admin to

   communicate with parents if needed.

LOCATION: The location is in Miasageori in North Eastern Seoul (20min subway ride to Seoul Station). It's a great location connected to a Remian apartment complex and with a lotte castle apartment complex just 5 min away. We have 44 students at the moment who come to us from 7 different elementary schools which are all nearby. The closest school is Younghoon Elementary School which is a private school and whose parents mostly care about communication.

The area is developing with a major road nearby planned for the future. Lotte castle was completed just last year and Remian was built just a few years back. It is a family area, which means many students are in the area!

Also, there is an art academy opening next door, and there is no other academy in the area with a native English speaker teaching, which is why we have been successful (our classes were almost full within 2 weeks of opening)

OUR STUDENTS AND PARENTS: Our style of teaching is communicative. Parents care about the students enjoying themselves and having the time to talk with others. So, the atmosphere is very relaxed and welcoming and parents are very open and understanding (we had previously closed down for 2 months as we grew too quickly and I needed time to reset, only 2 students moved elsewhere with the remaining parents waiting for our return).

Students are levelled by ability (not age or grade) but all get along well. They range from 1st to 5th grade. Most students enjoy speaking and participating in activities.

OUR CLASSES: We have 5 levels (level 1 being Pre-A1 and level 5 being A2). We progress through material slowly to ensure students have plenty of time to speak in each class. We have a curriculum map that covers a year, so after one year, students should progress up. I use textbooks as a guide and create my own games and activities for the end of each class. Group 2 comes 5 days a week with Group 3-5 being split into MWF and TTh. 

WHAT’S INCLUDED: The classroom is quite large as I love group work and letting students get out of their chairs from time to time. There is also a waiting area/library. The academy comes with a small library, books for teachers to use while teaching, Samsung Flip 2 screen (interactive display), desks and chairs, shelves, whiteboard, markers, microwave, bluetooth A4/A3 printer, 8 Samsung tablets with headphones, games, and curriculum. The academy also has air conditioning. The asking price is half of what we paid to get everything set up. This building is quite new.

REASON FOR LEAVING: My husband and I will be moving back to Australia as we would like to start a family, and since we have made the decision, the sooner we can go back the better (for the purposes of him gaining his visa in time to begin uni).

TRANSITION: If all goes well and you would like to take over, you will be welcome to join me during my planning time and classes to learn the ins and outs of how we are run. You can continue doing what I do or, alternatively, you can do it your own way!

If you have additional questions please contact me. Price is negotiable if willing to take over sooner rather than later!

Thank you for reading!


 

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MORNING PART-TIME JOB | USA, female 25y/o

Koreabridge - Tue, 2022-08-09 01:46
Classified Ad Type: Location: Contact person by email

Hello!

I am an American from California looking for a morning part-time job between 9-1pm. 
please find mt resume below! Thank you! 
 

Message me at [email protected]

2022 Resume SALAS.docx 2022 Resume SALAS.docx
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Master Politeness Levels with Billy Go | #19: Mixing Politeness Levels Part 1

Koreabridge - Mon, 2022-08-08 16:17

반말 and 존댓말 are unique, and you won't use them together in the same sentence typically... but you actually can! And I'm going to show you how not only they can be mixed, but how it can be natural to do so in today's latest episode of "Master Politeness Levels."

There are 24 episodes in this series, and if you're a channel member you can watch all of them right now. Each week I'll post one new lesson publicly.

The post Master Politeness Levels with Billy Go | #19: Mixing Politeness Levels Part 1 appeared first on Learn Korean with GO! Billy Korean.

www.GoBillyKorean.com

 

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Busan MARU International Music Festival

Koreabridge - Mon, 2022-08-08 12:07
Date: Repeats every day until Thu Sep 29 2022. Tuesday, August 30, 2022 - 19:00Wednesday, August 31, 2022 - 19:00Thursday, September 1, 2022 - 19:00Location: Event Type: 

○ Period: August 30 - September 29, 2022

○ Venue: Busan Cultural Center, Haeundae Cultural Center, Eulsukdo Cultural Center, Busan Cinema Center and more

○ Hosted by: Busan Metropolitan City

○ For more info.: (051)516-8293

○ Website: http://www.bmimf.co.kr/

 

*‘Maru’ means mountain summit or roof in Korean, so the name of the festival implies that its goal is to become the top symphony festival in the nation, attracting the world’s most talented musicians.

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Busan International Comedy Festival

Koreabridge - Mon, 2022-08-08 12:03
Date: Repeats every day until Sun Aug 28 2022. Friday, August 19, 2022 - 19:00Saturday, August 20, 2022 - 19:00Sunday, August 21, 2022 - 19:00Location: Event Type: 

○ Period: Friday, August 19 – Sunday, August 28, 2022

Opening Ceremony August 19, 2022, 7:00 p.m. Outdoor Theatre, Busan Cinema Center

○ Venue: around Busan

○ Website: http://bicf.kr/

○ For more info.: (051)916-8828

 

Busan International Comedy Festival,
which started as Asia's first comedy festival in 2013,
has become a festival that represents Asia beyond Korea.

Through various high-quality comedy performances
and various auxiliary events
by world-renowned foreign comedy artists and famous Korean comedians,
we are planning to create a festival venue to communicate with the audience.

The Busan International Comedy Festival will work harder to brighten
the world with K-COMEDY's laughter, and laughter virus, which began in Busan, South Korea,
will be developed into a culture of big laughter that can flow all over the world.

2021.08.20(Fri) ~ 2021.08.29(Sun)
Comedy must go on : 코미디는 계속되어야 한다.

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Busan Craft Beer Festival 2022 at BEXCO

Koreabridge - Mon, 2022-08-08 11:59
Date: Repeats every day until Sun Aug 21 2022. Wednesday, August 17, 2022 - 20:55Thursday, August 18, 2022 - 20:55Friday, August 19, 2022 - 20:55Location: Event Type: 

○ Period: August 17-21, 2022

○ Venue: BEXCO outdoor plaza

○ Hours of Operation

Aug. 17-19, 17:00-22:00

Aug. 20-21, 16:00-22:00

○ For more info.: (051)740-7549

○ Hosted by: Busan Metropolitan City

○ Website: http://www.busanbeerfestival.com/2022/index.php

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BGN Eye Hospital Summer Vacation Event

Koreabridge - Fri, 2022-08-05 00:19
Classified Ad Type: Location: Neighborhood: BusanContact person by email

Splash into summer vacation with BGN Eye Hospital!

Enjoy your outdoor activities and water sports only 1 week after SMILE LASIK!

Save 300,000 off BGN SMILE, TRIPLE SMILE or QUATTRO SMILE!

Get free post-surgery eye drops worth 100,000 KRW for all surgeries!

This is definitely the time to get your 20/20 vision with BGN!

Contact us today and book your FREE consultation for Laser Vision Correction!

Phone: 010-7670-3995

kakao: eye1004bgnbusan

Email: [email protected]

August 2022.png
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Important Hanja: 자 (字) (한자) | Korean FAQ

Koreabridge - Thu, 2022-08-04 12:00

www.GoBillyKorean.com

 

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Important Hanja: 자 (字) (한자) | Korean FAQ

Koreabridge - Thu, 2022-08-04 12:00

Hanja are a useful way to expand your vocabulary, and knowing more of them can help you to better understand words that you already know more in depth.

This week's "Korean FAQ" lesson is all about the Hanja 자 (字), which means a "character."

The post Important Hanja: 자 (字) (한자) | Korean FAQ appeared first on Learn Korean with GO! Billy Korean.

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Korean Zodiac – Signs to identify one’s character

Koreabridge - Thu, 2022-08-04 10:36

Raise your hand if you know about the Korean Zodiac already! Sadly, not many of us likely do – not until we’ve read through this article, anyway. In comparison to the Western horoscopes and Chinese Zodiac Signs, the Korean Zodiac isn’t as well-known.

Perhaps many simply think that Koreans, too, follow the Chinese Zodiac only. But while it is true that Korean Zodiac derives from the times of Ancient China, it has since become its own thing. Learning about the different Korean Zodiac signs could be quite fun, so hopefully, you’ll keep reading to learn more about Korean Zodiac!

Korean Zodiac

Just like the Chinese Zodiac, this zodiac system also follows the lunar calendar and is based on Chinese astrology rather than the Western kind. In fact, its origins have been traced back to the times of ancient China and have since become their own separate things.

“Zodiac” in Korean

The Korean word for “zodiac” is 띠 (ddi). If someone asks you, “What is your Ddi?,” then they are pertaining to your zodiac sign.

How many animals are in the Korean zodiac?

Just like the Chinese Zodiac, you can also find 12 animals in the Korean one, with each person being assigned a zodiac animal based on their birth year, and each year is designated to one particular zodiac.

Each animal in the zodiac has specific characteristics and personality traits which can also be believed to describe the people of each zodiac animal.

How do you determine your zodiac sign?

Although each year is appointed to one zodiac animal, the cut-off point for any zodiac animal isn’t at the change of the year. This is because the zodiacs follow the lunar calendar. This means that not everyone born in the same year has the same zodiac sign.

For example, not everyone born in the year 2021 will belong to the year of the ox. Instead, those born prior to the lunar new year will be considered the same zodiac sign as their peers born in the previous year.

Why do people ask for someone’s Korean zodiac sign?

Although it may not be as popular as asking someone what their blood type is, it’s not uncommon to be asked what your zodiac sign is. People may be curious about it, mostly for fun but also to figure out your age.

They might also ask for some possible insights into your personality traits. Many Koreans still consider their Korean zodiac sign to be a big deal, for example, when it comes to compatibility between two people.

In addition, the zodiac animal in representation each year may also serve as a guideline for when making big decisions, such as marriage or job opportunities. Some zodiacs may bring about a bigger promise of fortune for taking risks, while others may encourage people to stay more conservative that year.

History of the Korean Zodiac

As has been mentioned above, the Korean zodiac has its origins in ancient China. Specifically, it can be regarded as having originated during the times of the Han Dynasty, more than 2000 years ago. In modern days, many Asian cultures still use the zodiac.

The Twelve Animals of the Korean Zodiac

Finally, let’s introduce you to each of the animals in the Korean zodiac! We’ve listed them below in the order in which they appear on the zodiac. The order of the animals in the zodiac is as follows: Rat, Ox, Tiger, Rabbit, Dragon, Snake, Horse, Sheep, Monkey, Rooster, Dog, and Pig.

How the animal sign cycle was decided

The old tale says the gods assigned this particular order by having the animals do a swimming competition. In other words, the rat was the first to reach the opposite bank of the swimming competition, while the pig came in last.

The story varies in particular with how the rat ended up coming in first. Some say the rat jumped off after it hitched a ride on the ox’s back, and others say that the ox offered to give the rat the ride to the other side.

Whichever story you choose to believe, the ending is always the same: the rat came in first and thus is also the first of the twelve animals in this zodiac.

The Rat (쥐 | jwi)

Birth years: 1948, 1960, 1972, 1984, 1996, 2008, 2020

As you may already guess based on the story, the rat is considered to be one of the most clever animal signs of the zodiac. People born in the year of the rat are also believed to be ambitious, charming, inventive, cheerful, and logical. They are highly adaptable and quick to react to change. They also hold a wide range of interests.

If you are from a Western country, you may be quite surprised by how positively rat is seen in the East. However, for Koreans, the year of the rat is thought to be an excellent year for big life changes, such as getting married, starting a new job, or simply starting fresh! This year is also seen one that’s dedicated to renewal and hard work.

Rats are most compatible with dragons and monkeys. Rats are the least compatible with horses.

The Ox (소 | so)

Birth years: 1949, 1961, 1973, 1985, 1997, 2009, 2021

Typical ox people are believed to have a strong character, with lots of fearlessness and tolerance. As a tolerant person, someone born in the year of the ox exhibits traits of someone that works hard, both at their job and at home, but you’ll never hear them complain about it.

They also tend to work towards long-term goals rather than short-term ones. In the year of the ox, great fortune can be discovered through working hard.

Oxen are most compatible with snakes and roosters. Oxes are least compatible with sheep.

The Tiger (호랑이 | horangi)

Birth years: 1950, 1962, 1974, 1986, 1998, 2010, 2022

Tiger people are described as sensitive, great empathizers, and deep thinkers. However, they are also seen to be extremely short-tempered and slow in decision-making. And while people have great respect to this zodiac, they also have a tendency to get in conflict with those older or of higher authority.

They can also be too indecisive and may easily get suspicious. However, a tiger also holds a lot of courage and power. Every 60 years, the year of the White Tiger takes place. It’s quite a polarizing year, as for others, it signals it is likely to be an unlucky year, while others believe the exact opposite.

Tigers are most compatible with horses and dogs. Tigers are least compatible with monkeys.

The Rabbit (토끼 | tokki)

Birth years: 1951, 1963, 1975, 1987, 1999, 2011, 2023

People born in the year of the rabbit are seen as friendly, empathetic, and enjoyable company, with a tendency to be great communicators and good teachers. However, they are also quite introverted and private, often needing their own space. The year of the rabbit is regarded as a lucky year among Koreans.

Rabbits are most compatible with sheep and pigs. Rabbits are least compatible with roosters.

The Dragon (용 | yong)

Birth years: 1952, 1964, 1976, 1988, 2000, 2012, 2024

People that belong to the dragon years are perceived as ambitious and dominant, also having a great sense of humor. Dragons prefer to set their own rules to live by, and when they are allowed to do so, they often emerge victorious and successful. They’re brave and not afraid to take on challenges. They’re driven by a high level of passion.

They’ll easily lend a helping hand, but don’t expect them to ever ask for help themselves. Dragons frequently love their alone time more than anything else, while others are easily attracted to them due to their liveliness, and especially their colorful personalities.

They are most compatible with monkeys and rats. They are least compatible with dogs.

The Snake (뱀 | baem)

Birth years: 1953, 1965, 1977, 1989, 2001, 2013, 2025

Again, whilst in the Western culture we may have a slightly negative impression of snakes, it is not the case in the East. People born in the year of the snake are seen as the ones who are the most collected of all the animals in the zodiac.

In addition, they are also the most introspective, intuitive, and refined. They’re also largely intelligent and enigmatic. However, snake people can also be seen as cunning. Such character traits put together to make them particularly excellent at conducting business.

Snakes are most compatible with roosters and oxen. Snakes are least compatible with pigs.

The Horse (말 | mal)

Birth years: 1954, 1966, 1978, 1990, 2002, 2014, 2026

Many people born in the year of the horse are seen as popular and highly adaptable. This is thanks to their cheerfulness and perceptiveness, although they might succumb to talking excessively. They’re regarded as wise and talented but also impatient, as well as terribly stubborn and rarely listen to advice.

Additionally, they are also highly independent, which sadly has made women born in the year of the horse considered not desirable brides for marriage. Especially the women born in the year of the white horse, the last of which was in 2002, are seen as too independent for that.

Horses are most compatible with dogs and tigers. Horses are least compatible with rats.

The Sheep (양 | yang)

Birth years: 1955, 1967, 1979, 1991, 2003, 2015, 2027

The people born in the year of the sheep are seen as intelligent, calm, dependable, compassionate, and creative. However, they can also be rather shy and pessimistic and enjoy spending much of their time alone.

They do also enjoy being a part of a group, although they’d rather always stay out of being the center of attention.

Sheep are most compatible with pigs and rabbits. Sheep are least compatible with oxen.

The Monkey (원숭이 | wonsungi)

Birth years: 1956, 1968, 1980, 1992, 2004, 2016, 2028

Monkey people are considered to be the most clever of all the signs, even more so than the rat. In fact, you could even describe people born in the year of the monkey as geniuses.

They are not only great at assessing risk and problems but also at solving them. In general, they are quick to make decisions. They are admirably inventive, flexible, and skillful and will not likely find themselves in trouble for long.

Monkeys are most compatible with rats and dragons. Monkeys are least compatible with tigers.

The Rooster (닭 | dalk)

Birth years: 1957, 1969, 1981, 1993, 2005, 2017, 2029

Roosters are excellent at making decisions and also rather outspoken. However, they can also be surprisingly extravagant and may get caught ambitiously daydreaming.

During the year of the rooster, you’ll have to put in a lot of hard and earnest work to maintain new partnerships and friendships.It is also important to slow down and carefully consider all of the pros and cons before making any major decisions.

Roosters are most compatible with oxen and snakes. Roosters are least compatible with rabbits.

The Dog (개 | gae)

Birth years: 1958, 1970, 1982, 1994, 2006, 2018, 2030

It is said that the people born in the year of the dog possess all the best traits in human nature. They are honest, responsible, and extremely loyal, and it is hard for people not to trust them. They also do not give any thought to money, although interestingly enough, they don’t seem to run short of it.

However, even dogs have some unfavorable characteristics. They can be stubborn and a little selfish, for example. You can trust that person born in the year of the dog is an exceptional leader.

Dogs are most compatible with tigers and horses. Dogs are least compatible with dragons.

The Pig (돼지 | dwaeji)

Birth years: 1959, 1971, 1983, 1995, 2007, 2019, 2031

Finally, we have the pig. You can assume people born in the year of the pig to be chivalrous, thoughtful, and as loyal as one can be. They will only have a few good friends, but those friendships will likely last a lifetime.

They love to discover new information but do not talk a lot. The year of the pig is thought to be one filled with luck and fertility.

Pigs are most compatible with rabbits and sheep. Pigs are the least compatible with snakes.

The 12-year and the 60-year cycle

These were systems to designate the passage of time in days, months, and years. It was also used in other Asian countries, most notably in ancient China. The 12-year cycle, of course, relates directly to the animals of the zodiac.

In this case, they are referred to together as the Twelve Earthly Branches. It was used together with another system, Ten Heavenly Stems.

Together, one of the Twelve Earthly Branches and one of the Ten Heavenly Stems would name each year. The Twelve Earthly Branches represent each animal, while the Ten Heavenly Stems represent an element, such as metal or water.

For example, the Lunar year of 2022 is regarded as the year of the Water Tiger. With twelve branches and ten stems, it takes 60 years to go through each possible combination, thus reaching the 60-year cycle. This is one big reason why a person’s 60th birthday is seen as a highly significant one to celebrate in Korea.

What is your sign in the Korean zodiac? Do you think the description fits you well or poorly? Let us know below in the comments!

Also, if you would like to learn more about how the Lunar calendar has shaped Korean society, you may want to read our articles on Korean Lunar New Year and Korean Thanksgiving, for example.

The post Korean Zodiac – Signs to identify one’s character appeared first on 90 Day Korean®.

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Seokdeung – Stone Lantern: 석등

Koreabridge - Wed, 2022-08-03 23:26
The Stone Lantern at Gakhwang-jeon Hall of Hwaeomsa Temple. Design and Location of Stone Lanterns

One of the most common stone structures that you’ll find at a Korean Buddhist temple is the stone lantern, which is known as a “seokdeung – 석등” in Korean. So what exactly do they look like? What do they mean? And where do you find them?

Stone lanterns are comprised of a base, a single long octagonal pedestal, a square or octagonal body that may, or may not, be decorated. This chamber typically has four vertical, rectangular openings. And atop this chamber is a roof-cap. Stone lanterns are typically made of white granite.

Stone lanterns are typically housed in the main courtyard between the Boje-ru Pavilion and the temple’s stone pagoda. The stone lantern stands in front of the stone pagoda, the seok-tap; both of which, stand together in front of the main hall of the temple. However, while this is the traditional location of a stone lantern, there are plenty of examples where a stone lantern is located in a different position on the temple grounds. Traditionally, there was only one stone lantern at a temple. The stone lantern is meant to represent the spreading of the Buddha’s teachings, the Dharma.

The Twin Lion Stone Lantern of Beopjusa Temple. The pagoda in front of the Four Lion Three-Story Stone Pagoda of Hwaeomsa Temple. History and Variations of Stone Lanterns

The construction of stone lanterns became popular during Unified Silla (668-935 A.D.) in the ninth century, as the spread of Seon Buddhism grew in popularity. The tradition of creating stone lanterns continued through to the early part of the Joseon Dynasty (1392-1910). Of these historic stone lanterns, of which there are 280, only about 60 of these extant stone lanterns are well preserved with all sections of the structure still intact. And of these 60, 24 are from the Unified Silla Dynasty.

Like all Korean Buddhist art, there is variation to stone lanterns. The most dramatic of these variations can be found at the Twin Lion Stone Lantern of Beopjusa Temple, the Stone Lantern at Gakhwang-jeon Hall of Hwaeomsa Temple, or the human image at the base of the stone lantern out in front of the Four Lion Three-Story Stone Pagoda of Hwaeomsa Temple. All three are National Treasures, and deservedly so. In fact, there are a total of 5 stone lanterns that are National Treasures. In addition, there are 22 stone lanterns that are Korean Treasures, 3 that are Tangible Cultural Heritage, and 1 that is a Cultural Properties Materials.

Symbolism of Stone Lanterns

As for the decoration that adorns the light chamber of a stone lantern, they are typically adorned with reliefs of the Four Heavenly Kings or Bodhisattva images. Carving deities like the Four Heavenly Kings on the light chamber of a stone lantern is important symbolically. The symbolism has a dual purpose. First, the stone lantern is meant to represent the light of the Dharma that destroys ignorance. Also, light is used as a symbol for the teachings of the Buddha and the Dharma. In fact, it’s believed that by lighting a stone lantern that it’s equal to making an offering at an altar inside a temple shrine hall. Now, however, the stone lantern is more typically used as a decorative piece. As for the Four Heavenly Kings, they are protectors of the Buddha and the Dharma, so that’s why they typically appear on stone lanterns.

So the next time you’re at a Korean Buddhist temple, have a look for these stone monuments that exude beauty, while also having the symbolic meaning of radiating the Buddha’s teachings. Often overlooked, stone lanterns are diverse in their appearance and overall aesthetic.

The Stone Lantern at Muryangsu-jeon Hall of Buseoksa Temple. And the Stone Lantern of Gwanchoksa Temple.

KoreanTempleGuide.com

Dale's Korean Temple Adventures YouTube

Inner Peace Art Store
​​​​​​​

 

 

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My Comments on Potential South Korean/Japanese Nuclearization

Koreabridge - Wed, 2022-08-03 18:16

My Extended Comments on Potential South Korean/Japanese Nuclearization for the Asian Leadership Conference and Foreign Policy Magazine

 

I spoke at the Asian Leadership Conference in Seoul a few weeks ago on S Korean/Japanese indigenous nuclearization and then published my basic thinking with Foreign Policy magazine on the topic a few days later.

Both of the venues required a more abbreviated presentation for time/space constraints, so I thought I would put up my full remarks here, at my own site. Here is the 2022 ALC site, and here is my original article for FP.

In brief, my argument is that the US should get out of the way to let Seoul and Tokyo make up their own mind. The US has long opposed ROK/Jpn nuclearization, but increasingly that strikes me as inappropriately hegemonic or strong-arming of them. There is a pretty strong case for SK and Japan to counter-nuclearize against China, Russia, and especially NK. I sketch that in detail after the jump, but the short version is:

1. The US is not going to exchange LA for Seoul/Tokyo. In 1961, de Gaulle asked JFK would he exchange NY for Paris. JFK waffled; de Gaulle was no idiot; he built French nukes shortly afterwards. The logic is the same here. The US is not going to fight a nuclear war solely for non-Americans. This will raise endless, irresolvable credibility debates between the US and its Asian allies. The best way to resolve that is to do what our European allies did – self-insure through indigenous nuclearization.

2. Trump will likely get elected – or ‘elected’ – in 2024, and he will ‘blow up’ the ROK alliance as he promised he would. So ROK nuclearization may happen no matter what we think. And a US retrenchment from SK would probably scare Japan so much that the whole nuclear debate there would shift substantially to the right.

There is a lot of anxiety about this step, and I share it too. So I don’t endorse SK/J nuclearization. But there is SK polling showing high interest in this, and SK is terribly exposed to NK nuclear devastation with few good options as the NKs continue to build relentlessly. (All this I cover below.) So the least we Americans can do is get out of the way and let them debate it themselves.

The original, pre-edited FP essay on this follows below the jump:

 

A February poll found that 71% of South Koreans wanted their country, the Republic of Korea (ROK), to have nuclear weapons. Another in May found 70% supported indigenous nuclearization, with 64% in support even if that violated the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). The drivers, unsurprisingly, are North Korea’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and China’s growing belligerence. These factors impact the Japanese nuclearization debate too, although interest there is noticeably lower. America has long opposed ROK/Japanese counter-nuclearization. But in the light of the Ukraine war, Washington should not hegemonically dictate the outcome of its allies’ WMD debates.

NATO anxiety over Russian WMD in the Ukraine war illustrates potential limits on American counter-escalation when facing a nuclearized opponent. Western pundits have been quite candid that Russian nuclear weapons were the reason for rejecting the no-fly zone sought by Kyiv. Chinese and, especially, North Korean WMD might play a similar blocking or limiting role in East Asian contingencies.

Importantly, US guarantees to South Korea and Japan are formalized as treaty, while NATO is not similarly committed to Ukraine. But during the Cold War, Britain and France were incredulous enough that America would sacrifice ‘New York for Paris’ that they built their own nuclear weapons despite formal US guarantees. That same logic is at work in East Asia today. The US will not sacrifice ‘Los Angeles for Seoul.’

China, with its relatively restrained nuclear rhetoric, is less the issue here than North Korea, which regularly, flamboyantly, and frighteningly invokes its nuclear weapons. Pyongyang is not going to reform, will march relentlessly toward more and better WMD, and is building its doctrine around their use, including tactically. This is the core problem: Kim Jong Un’s North Korea is a terrifying orwellian cult-tyranny, and it will not stop building the world’s most dangerous weapons nor give them up.

Alternatives to direct ROK/Japanese nuclear deterrence of Northern WMD are soft. Extended nuclear deterrence is weakly credible if it means nuked US cities to defend South Korea or Japan. Missile defense does not work well enough to provide a ‘roof’ against as many weapons North Korea appears to be building. China will not take serious action to stop Pyongyang. A negotiated deal – the best solution and hence discussed at length below – might control Pyongyang’s programs somewhat, via missile or warhead limits, or inspector access. But North Korea seems unwilling to negotiate seriously; is an untrustworthy counterparty; is unlikely to cut enough to relieve the existential threat its WMD now pose to South Korea and Japan; and would demand exorbitant counter-concessions as payment.

This poor option-set is already forcingthinking the unthinkablediscussions in the region. ROK President Yoon Seok-Yeol suggested preemptive strikes on Northern missile sites in a crisis, and former Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo suggested the return of US nuclear weapons to the region. The sheer precarity of South Korean and Japanese exposure to a nuclearized/missilized orwellian tyranny – which will be evident yet again this year if Pyongyang tests another nuclear weapon as predicted – will make it increasingly awkward for America to hegemonically insist that Seoul, and Tokyo even, may not investigate all security options.

Worse, US resistance to allied nuclearization assumes a traditional American internationalism which is no longer assured. One of America’s two parties increasingly disdains alliances and admires authoritarianism. If Donald Trump – or a similar ‘Trumpist’ – retakes the US presidency in 2024, American opposition to east Asian allies’ nuclearization will decline dramatically – if only because the US will no longer care what they do. As president, Trump was more interested in personal relationships with regional autocrats like Xi or Kim than with traditional US partners. He notoriously “fell in love” with Kim and expressed particular loathing for South Korea. Trump signaled a desire to “blow up” the US-ROK alliance if re-elected elected and hinted at breaking the 1951 US-Japan Security Treaty too. So, there is a reasonable chance South Korea will nuclearize after 2024 regardless of what the Americans think. US abandonment of South Korea would also push the Japanese nuclearization discussion to the right.

This would not be the first time the United States has tacitly accepted another country’s nuclearization. Ostensibly, the US has supported the NPT for decades. In practice though, Washington tolerates at least six states’ unwillingness to build down, per the reduction exhortation of the NPT’s Article VI: itself, Britain, France, Israel, India, and Pakistan. By the vague standard implied by these examples – friendship with America, reasonable state capacity, passably liberal and democratic – South Korea and Japan more than clear the bar for a US NPT ‘exemption.’

Judged by US behavior toward NPT contravention, the NPT is better understood as a US effort to prevent unfriendly or hostile states from nuclearizing, rather than as a blanket, ‘Global Zero’ commitment to fewer nuclear weapons in the world. The US does not pressure friendly nuclear weapons-states, including itself, to meet NPT requirements. It gave up sanctioning India and Pakistan’s violation after just three years. Applying this more honest standard of US interests to arms control, the NPT is of questionable utility in East Asia.

Most obviously, the nonproliferation upside of the NPT is now passé in the region. China, Russia, and North Korea already possess nuclear weapons and show no signs of building down. So there is no regional nuclearization ‘cascade’ for the NPT to inhibit, by blocking ROK/Japanese nuclearization, because it has already happened. And Taiwanese nuclearization is unlikely, as South Korea and Japan are friendly states whose WMD would not impact Taipei’s security. Taiwanese elites are quite aware their nuclearization would provoke China. More generally, recent nuclear trends – modernization (in America, Britain, China, and Russia), arsenal growth (China, North Korea), the breakdown of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces and Open Skies Treaties, the growth of low-yield options – undercut the NPT.

Next, there is an under-discussed NPT downside: it provokes the alliance-debilitating, ‘New York for Paris’ debates mentioned above. If US allies may not nuclearize and must rely on US nuclear weapons for nuclear deterrence, then they will inevitably question whether the US will use those weapons in their defense if that might incur a retaliatory nuclear strike on the US homeland. The answer to that question is almost certainly no, as French President Charles de Gaulle realized sixty years ago. Because this debate is irresolvable and endemic, it will permanently bedevil US alliances in East Asia as North Korea continues to build up. US Senator Lindsey Graham pointedly stated this quandary in 2017:

If there’s going to be a war to stop [Kim Jong Un], it will be over there. If thousands die, they’re going to die over there. They’re not going to die here. And [Trump’s] told me that to my face…That may be provocative, but not really. When you’re president of the United States, where does your allegiance lie? To the people of the United States.

The easiest way to reduce this bitter, alliance-undermining dissension is to let US allies ‘self-insure’ via indigenous nuclearization.

Finally, ROK/Japanese nuclearization could serve shared regional interests by providing supplemental, local deterrence (as British and French nukes did during the Cold War) and by improving alliance burden-sharing. Further, the threat of ROK/Japanese nuclearization might finally prompt Pyongyang and Beijing to take North Korean denuclearization negotiations seriously. Should South Korea and Japan respect the NPT and Global Zero, while China, Russia, and North Korea do as they will, the effective outcome is unilateral disarmament. This is politically and strategically infeasible; we regrettably live in a world of persistent nuclear armament.

Global Zero advocates such as Scott Sagan worry about the transactional issues of WMD possession, because they are uniquely dangerous weapons. Indeed, theft, loss, rogue scientists, and so on are legitimate fears. But they are no more resonant with South Korea or Japan than with any other nuclear weapons-state. Indeed, as liberal democracies with robust state capacity and pre-existing, well-managed nuclear energy programs, they will likely be quite responsible, as Britain and France have been.

No one seriously believes Seoul or Tokyo will launch an out-of-the-blue nuclear first strike on an opponent; set up something like the A.Q. Khan proliferation network; sell WMD to terrorists or other rogues; put Homer Simpson in charge of nuclear safety; or be so sloppy as to require something like the Nunn-Lugar program. Britain and France never did such things; Pakistan and India have been better with their arsenals than the panic of the late 1990s suggested. Even dictatorships have been cautious about these issues. And as democracies with a history of foreign policy restraint, democratic peace theory suggests they would be good stewards, certainly better than east Asia’s autocratic nuclear powers.

There is a generalized anxiety about a regional arms race, which ROK/Japanese nuclearization might exacerbate. Perhaps, but as noted above, there is no local cascade to be sparked, because it has already occurred. China, Russia, and North Korea have all moved first. China and Russia have established nuclear arsenals and no intention of complying with the NPT Article VI build-down imperative. Russia’s growing rhetorical invocation of its nuclear weapons is a disturbing evolution. North Korea repeatedly agreed, non-bindingly since 1992, to avoid nuclear weapons – only to exit the NPT and keep building. It now has intercontinental ballistic missiles and several dozen nuclear warheads.

Ostensibly South Korea and Japan are not competing in this race – but only because they ‘outsource’ their nuclear deterrence to America. Extended deterrence does not remove US-Japan-ROK alliance WMD from the East Asian security discussion. It only means they are not located in-theater. That may have value in keeping China from building yet more (although it is already doing so) or Russia from playing the nuclear card in the region as it does in Europe. But it is not stopping North Korea. And that is the core issue – always and again.

North Korea will not sign a deal which reduces its arsenal enough to reduce the strategic threat which brought Yoon to float preemption earlier this year. Even if Pyongyang signed a deal – and did not cheat – it would never cut deeply enough to obviate the existential threat it now poses to Japan and South Korea. Nuclear weapons are an excellent deterrent for North Korea, and tactically, they help equalize the conventional military competition with the South and US where Pyongyang lags behind. Complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization is fantasy.

The negotiations between Kim, Trump, and previous ROK President Moon Jae-In strongly suggest this. From 2018 to 2020, North Korea had the best chance in its history to capture a balance-positive deal with the ROK and US. Revealingly, Kim passed it up, even though the constellation of forces was nearly ideal for Pyongyang in two, overlapping dovish presidencies in the North’s primary opponents:

In Trump, Pyongyang had the best American president ever for its interests. Trump loathed South Korea. He knew little about Korean history, nuclear weapons, or ballistic missiles; according to former Trump National Security Advisor John Bolton, Trump did not even prepare for his summits with Kim. Trump did not care about the US position in East Asia and disliked US allies generally. He desperately wanted to sign a peace deal with Kim to win a Nobel Peace Prize and help his re-election bid. Moon too was about the best North Korea could hope for in a South Korean president. His roots were in the South Korean left which genuinely believes that North Korea is brother Korean state which would never nuke South Korea.

It is hard to imagine better counterparties to whom Kim might make some genuine concessions in order to receive large counter-concessions. Instead, Kim’s one serious offer to Trump, at Hanoi in 2019, was very unbalanced. Kim offered to shutter one aging nuclear plant for full sanctions removal. Even Trump, desperate for a deal for a Nobel and the consequent prestige, realized this was balance-negative and rejected it. Kim never again proposed anything serious to Trump or Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and talks collapsed. North Korean nukes are here to stay.

Finally, a ROK/Japanese nuclearization discussion indicates a seriousness about their own security which is long overdue. Cheap-riding and strategy immaturity among US allies are long-established problems. This is glaringly obvious in Europe now, where local US allies, much more impacted by the Ukraine war, are nonetheless buck-passing leadership of the response to America. The US should discourage this if it is to finally achieve a more restrained, less sprawling foreign policy, a less gargantuan defense budget, greater focus on China, fewer ‘forever war’ interventions, and so on.

If allied democracies want nuclear weapons, if their foreign policy elites and voters decide to take this step, then the US should accept that that is their choice. As a liberal alliance leader, the US should not tell its partners what to do, nor what they may even debate. ROK/Japanese interest in WMD is defensive, in good faith, and follows decades of restraint; it is obviously not offensively intended. America should want US allies to take greater responsibility, develop deep national security doctrines, spend more, stop turning to America for foreign policy direction, and so on. Indeed, Yoon recognizes that, in the very title of his Foreign Affairs article for the 2022 South Korean presidential election: “South Korea Needs to Step-Up.” Precisely.

Allied cheap-riding is bad for America at home too. Militarized hegemony is deeply toxic to US domestic politics. The American national security state is too large and intrusive. American policing has become militarized, and the culture fetishes soldiers and military violence in a manner unique and disturbing for a republic. Greater allied burden-sharing has long been a goal of US foreign policy, and it would be good for US republican values at home if America did less abroad. There is no reason why greater allied strategic responsibility should not include WMD if well-governed democratic allies so choose.

No one wants more nuclearization if avoidable. The decision is momentous, and I do not endorse it. Ideally, arms control with North Korea would alleviate some risk. And missile defense could provide a bit of ‘roof.’ And extended deterrence and Chinese resistance could encourage North Korea to slow down.

But these options are all poor and getting worse. The Trump-Moon-Kim talks – the most concentrated effort at a deal ever – failed. China is not helping. Missile defense is costly and does not work well. Yoon’s preemption could provoke precisely the war it intends to prevent. Trump’s possible re-election is a huge wildcard. The Ukraine war illustrates the risks of extended deterrence, and the better/faster/more powerful North Korean WMD become, the less credible the US commitment becomes. America will not fight a nuclear war solely for allies, a point about which America analysts should be honest even if US officials dance around it. Direct ROK/Japanese deterrence is increasingly a better option than these alternatives – which point another North Korean nuclear test this year will likely throw into sharp relief. The US should at least allow its allies to debate the issue without strong-arming them.

 

 

 

Robert E Kelly
Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science & Diplomacy
Pusan National University

@Robert_E_Kelly

 

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